Weather and climate change

Headline:

Largely dry, with variable amounts of cloud.

Today:

Cloud in the southeast soon thinning but may remain along coastal areas where it will be breezy with a cool feel. Fine elsewhere but a risk of an isolated shower for central England and Wales. Warmer than Friday.

Tonight:

Most areas dry with long clear spells where it will feel chilly with the odd mist and fog patch by dawn. Cloudier in the far northwest with patchy light rain.

Sunday:

Mist and fog clearing quickly to leave plenty of sunny spells. Becoming cloudier for the north and more rain and drizzle on western slopes in Scotland. Feeling warm in sunshine.

Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:

A front moves southwards across the UK through Monday and Tuesday bringing some heavy showers to the north at times. Temperatures will start to fall in the coming days.

Updated: 05:00 (UTC+1) on Sat 1 Jun 2024

The first part of the period most likely characterised by showers sometimes blustery, occasionally heavy with thunderstorms, sometimes forming larger bands of rain. Showers most often across north-western areas but all areas likely to see some, generally lighter in the south with a good deal of brighter spells around these. Temperatures rather cool. Into the new week the outlook becomes uncertain though most likely an increased potential for periods of rain breaking into showers to spread from the west with fresh or strong winds at times. The southeast of the UK will probably continue to be drier with western areas more likely seeing the most rainfall. Temperatures mainly around normal, feeling cool in the west with best chance of warmer temperatures in the east.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Sat 1 Jun 2024

There is a slight shift of the most favoured regime from more unsettled to settled conditions through this period, though by relatively small margins, this linked to a slight trend towards drier and warmer conditions especially in the south as the period progresses. On balance, it is probable that a continuation of variable, slow moving weather patterns are likely through much of June, with high pressure becoming more dominant from the west late on. Temperatures are most likely to be around or above normal.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Sat 1 Jun 2024